CONMEBOLFIFA Rank: #13
Colombia
Analyzing current parameters: Power Rating of 1.00. Qualifying campaign results: Won 9, Drawn 6, Lost 3 games.
Avg Group Points
2.7
Qualify Chance
71%
Qualification Briefing
nervous"On the bubble. Needs a positive result and potentially help from other group fixtures."
Best-Case ScenarioThird-place wildcard spot
Worst-Case ScenarioThird-place elimination
Anxiety Index Meter
12DREAD
Classification:Calm
This index gauges real-time psychological pressure, assessing remaining difficulty, current position, recent form, and mathematical simulation vulnerability.
Active Dread Drivers:
- Moderate qualification pressure
- Favorable final match against low-rated Uzbekistan
- Positioned in the automatic qualifying top two
Group Stage Fixtures & H2H Logs
Jun 18, 02:00 AMEstadio Banorte (Mexico City)
Uzbekistan
VS
Colombia
Opponent Rating: 0.78
No previous World Cup head-to-head records.
Win Probabilities:Blended GBT/DC Engine
Home Win34%
Draw31%
Away Win35%
Jun 24, 02:00 AMEstadio Akron (Guadalajara)
Colombia
VS
Path to Glory — Monte Carlo Simulation
Standing Override Scenario ("What If")
Round of 32vs 🇭🇷 Croatia (55% win chance)
100%Round of 16vs 🇪🇸 Spain (36% win chance)
56%Quarter-Finalsvs 🇧🇪 Belgium (55% win chance)
18%Semi-Finalsvs 🇲🇦 Morocco (51% win chance)
10%Finalsvs 🇫🇷 France (36% win chance)
5%Champion
2%Percentages represent the likelihood of reaching each round based on 10,000 Monte Carlo tournament iterations incorporating FIFA ratings, current ELO, qualifying performance, and co-host home-field advantage metrics.