Premier League Predictions & Football Forecasts

Sensible Stats

Football Forecasting Engine

Season:

Champions League WC 2026

Forecasting the table, not shouting about it.

Live recordEvery forecast frozen before kickoff, and published Rumour MillTransfer rumours scored for reliability — 20 days to deadline

MW1

Fixtures left380

Teams

Fixtures left

380

Data

football-data.org

Matchday

MW 1

Status

Live

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Club: All teamsSearch: NonePredictions: 380

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Pre-season: no 2026/27 matches have been played. These are baseline probabilities and carry almost no club-specific information until matchday 3. The season projection below is under review.

Pre-season outlook

Opening-week forecast

↑

Arsenal the model's top call

Arsenal vs Coventry City — Arsenal at 55% confidence.

Remaining board

Predicted fixtures

10 of 380 shown

Every bar below is a model output — how often that result happens across simulated seasons, not a tip. How this works, and how accurate it has been →

Matchday 1 / 21 Aug 2026, 20:00

Arsenal vs Coventry City

Medium / 63%No recent results.No recent results.

Arsenal

54.6%

Draw

27.6%

Coventry City

17.8%

Most likely score 2-1. Goal means 1.96-1.16.

Arsenal hold a 228-point edge over Coventry City on the underlying team rating.

Matchday 1 / 22 Aug 2026, 12:30

Hull City vs Manchester United

Low / 48%No recent results.No recent results.

Hull City

24.4%

Draw

29.2%

Manchester United

46.4%

Most likely score 1-2. Goal means 1.46-1.57.

Manchester United hold a 164-point edge over Hull City on the underlying team rating.

Matchday 1 / 22 Aug 2026, 15:00

Ipswich vs Sunderland

Low / 39%No recent results.No recent results.

Ipswich

28.5%

Draw

30.2%

Sunderland

41.3%

Most likely score 1-2. Goal means 1.48-1.31.

Sunderland hold a 91-point edge over Ipswich on the underlying team rating.

Matchday 1 / 22 Aug 2026, 15:00

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Low / 35%No recent results.No recent results.

Nottingham Forest

38.1%

Draw

31.6%

Leeds

30.3%

Most likely score 1-0. Goal means 1.39-1.21.

Model explanation available.

Matchday 1 / 22 Aug 2026, 15:00

Everton vs Crystal Palace

Low / 37%No recent results.No recent results.

Everton

41.2%

Draw

31.7%

Crystal Palace

27.1%

Most likely score 1-0. Goal means 1.41-1.16.

Model explanation available.

Matchday 1 / 22 Aug 2026, 17:30

Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur

Low / 42%No recent results.No recent results.

Brentford

44.5%

Draw

31.9%

Tottenham Hotspur

23.6%

Most likely score 1-0. Goal means 1.48-1.20.

Brentford hold a 49-point edge over Tottenham Hotspur on the underlying team rating.

Matchday 1 / 23 Aug 2026, 14:00

Manchester City vs Bournemouth

Low / 51%No recent results.No recent results.

Manchester City

48.6%

Draw

29.4%

Bournemouth

22.0%

Most likely score 2-1. Goal means 1.68-1.28.

Manchester City hold a 91-point edge over Bournemouth on the underlying team rating.

Matchday 1 / 23 Aug 2026, 14:00

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa

Low / 35%No recent results.No recent results.

Brighton & Hove Albion

37.6%

Draw

31.7%

Aston Villa

30.7%

Most likely score 2-1. Goal means 1.47-1.30.

Aston Villa hold a 47-point edge over Brighton & Hove Albion on the underlying team rating.

Matchday 1 / 23 Aug 2026, 16:30

Newcastle United vs Liverpool

Low / 35%No recent results.No recent results.

Newcastle United

36.4%

Draw

31.1%

Liverpool

32.6%

Most likely score 2-1. Goal means 1.41-1.38.

Liverpool hold a 45-point edge over Newcastle United on the underlying team rating.

Matchday 1 / 24 Aug 2026, 20:00

Fulham vs Chelsea

Low / 39%No recent results.No recent results.

Fulham

42.3%

Draw

31.4%

Chelsea

26.4%

Most likely score 1-0. Goal means 1.39-1.31.

Model explanation available.

370 more fixtures match this filter

Current table

Live standings

Live data only

#	Club	Status
—	Arsenal	Pre-season
—	Coventry City	Pre-season
—	Hull City	Pre-season
—	Manchester United	Pre-season
—	Ipswich	Pre-season
—	Sunderland	Pre-season
—	Nottingham Forest	Pre-season
—	Leeds	Pre-season
—	Everton	Pre-season
—	Crystal Palace	Pre-season
—	Brentford	Pre-season
—	Tottenham Hotspur	Pre-season
—	Manchester City	Pre-season
—	Bournemouth	Pre-season
—	Brighton & Hove Albion	Pre-season
—	Aston Villa	Pre-season
—	Newcastle United	Pre-season
—	Liverpool	Pre-season
—	Fulham	Pre-season
—	Chelsea	Pre-season