CONCACAFFIFA Rank: #15
Mexico
Analyzing current parameters: Power Rating of 1.11. Qualifying campaign results: Won 5, Drawn 2, Lost 1 games.
Avg Group Points
9.0
Qualify Chance
100%
Qualification Briefing
qualified"Safe! Through to the knockout stages."
Best-Case ScenarioRound of 32 seed
Worst-Case ScenarioRunner-up slot
Anxiety Index Meter
100DREAD
Classification:Hiding Behind the Sofa
This index gauges real-time psychological pressure, assessing remaining difficulty, current position, recent form, and mathematical simulation vulnerability.
Active Dread Drivers:
- Knocked out — the tournament run is over.
Chance Creation Profile
2 matches trackedxG Created / Match1.47
xG Conceded / Match1.18
Creating 1.47 xG per match but scoring 2.00 — well ahead of what the chances suggest, though that gap is rarely sustained.
By Opponent Strength
Elite oppositionNo matches yet
Mid-tier opposition1.47 xG for · 1.18 xG against (2 matches)
Lower-rated oppositionNo matches yet
Group Stage Fixtures & H2H Logs
Jun 11, 07:00 PMEstadio Banorte (Mexico City)
Mexico
2 - 0
South Africa
Opponent Rating: 0.73
No previous World Cup head-to-head records.
Jun 19, 01:00 AMEstadio Akron (Guadalajara)
Mexico
1 - 0
Korea Republic
Opponent Rating: 0.83
No previous World Cup head-to-head records.
Jun 25, 01:00 AMEstadio Banorte (Mexico City)
Czechia
0 - 3
Mexico
Opponent Rating: 0.71
No previous World Cup head-to-head records.
Jul 1, 02:00 AMEstadio Banorte (Mexico City)
Mexico
2 - 0
Ecuador
Opponent Rating: 0.84
No previous World Cup head-to-head records.
Jul 6, 01:00 AMEstadio Banorte (Mexico City)
Mexico
2 - 3
England
Opponent Rating: 1.39
No previous World Cup head-to-head records.
Path to Glory — Monte Carlo Simulation
Standing Override Scenario ("What If")
Round of 32vs 🇨🇮 Côte d'Ivoire (71% win chance)
100%Round of 16Lost to 🏴 England 2-3
100%Quarter-Finals
0%Semi-Finals
0%Finals
0%Champion
0%Percentages represent the likelihood of reaching each round based on 10,000 Monte Carlo tournament iterations incorporating FIFA ratings, current ELO, qualifying performance, and co-host home-field advantage metrics.
Explore the Tournament Projections
Compare other national squads, check out group standings cards, and analyze which matches sit highest on the "Group of Death" difficulty indices.
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