Skip to main content
Back to live boardClub hub / 2026/27

Club hub

Brentford

Deep dive into the live model state for Brentford: current standing, projected finish, next fixtures, recent xG momentum, and how ClubElo compares with the internal rating pass.

Current rank
11
Points
0
Goal diff
0
Projected finish
7

Current state

#11

Mid
Power score1556
ClubElo feedClubElo England ratings
xG feedUnderstat cached snapshot
Availability feedManual availability snapshot
Player load feedFPL player load snapshot
Current rank
#11
0 pts
Projected finish
#7
19.1% top 4 probability
Next fixture
Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur
22 Aug 2026, 16:30
Next-fixture edge
42.0%
Brentford win probability
Model readiness
Ready
77 XI / 78 load snapshots
Form consistency:Reliable

Team Snapshot

Team snapshot and key signals

Performance Index verdict, rating split, table context, role leaders, shot and pass maps, plus the structured analyst brief.

Shot Map

0 goals0 on target0 shots · 0.0 xG+0.0 vs xG
Loading shot data…
Goal On target Off target / blockedCircle size = xG value

Match Phase Breakdown

Loading phase data…

Passing Network

Loading network…

Goal timing

Goal distribution by 10-minute window

29 scored · 30 conceded · 38 matches

Peak scoring window

80-90+' · 0.29/match

Peak conceding window

40-50' · 0.18/match

0-10'
0.05/match (2)0.05/match (2)
10-20'
0.03/match (1)0.00/match (0)
20-30'
0.08/match (3)0.10/match (4)
30-40'
0.10/match (4)0.05/match (2)
40-50'
0.08/match (3)0.18/match (7)
50-60'
0.05/match (2)0.08/match (3)
60-70'
0.00/match (0)0.05/match (2)
70-80'
0.08/match (3)0.10/match (4)
80-90+'
0.29/match (11)0.16/match (6)

Model snapshot

Current rating split

Internal Elo
1505
ClubElo
1837
Blended Elo
1578

Hybrid Elo Rating

1621

low confidence

⚠ Divergence: 332 pts

Internal 1505External 1837
65%35%
Attack53
Defence53
Recent form50
Availability53

Table context

Where the club sits now

#9 Everton

GD +0

0

points

#10 Crystal Palace

GD +0

0

points

#11 Brentford

GD +0

0

points

#12 Tottenham Hotspur

GD +0

0

points

#13 Manchester City

GD +0

0

points

Fan sentiment

Loading…

Fear — Greed0 · 50 · 100

Role board

Squad role board

Selected role profile

Michael Kayode

DEF / Protector-led / High load

Finisher
6 / 100
Creator
8 / 100
Connector
22 / 100
Protection
62 / 100
Form
0 / 100
Load
76 / 100
Goals
0
0.0 xG
Assists
1
0.0 xA
Starts
28
2448 mins

Recent output: 0 goals, 0 assists, 0.0 expected involvements, 4 recent starts, 2 straight starts.

Top finisher

Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues

0.28 finisher / 0.13 recent attack

Top creator

Dango Ouattara

0.15 creator / 0.08 recent creator

Top connector

Kevin Schade

0.27 control / MID

Top protector

Michael Kayode

0.62 defence / Protector-led

Best current form

Caoimhín Kelleher

0 / 100 form / 0.13 recent attack

Highest load

Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues

89% load / 0 form

Unavailable context

Vitaly Janelt / injuryRico Henry / injuryAaron Hickey / injuryFabio Carvalho / injuryAntoni Milambo / injuryJoshua Dasilva / injury

Run-in map

Remaining fixtures and likely haul

probability-led / band-adjusted context
Remaining fixtures
38
16 vs top eight
Expected haul
49.3 pts
1.30 PPG from here
Historical run-in fit
N/A
Historical bucket context still shallow
Run-in fit
Unknown
0 strongest-fit / 0 weakest-fit

Fit read

unknown

Brentford's remaining mix is live, but the band-history sample is still thin.

Run-in split uses the live current table snapshot to classify each remaining opponent. Expected points come from match probabilities; historical split PPG is context from Brentford's finished matches in the same band and venue split.

Pressure points

8 top-four and 16 top-eight tests remain.

Shape of the run-in

0 fixtures mirror their strongest band split; 0 hit their weakest split.

Fixture board

The model probability is the forward-looking call. Historical split PPG is a context layer from the club’s finished matches against the same opponent band and venue split.

Home / 22 Aug 2026, 16:30

Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 9-12Current #12Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.58
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-31-27

Away / 30 Aug 2026, 13:00

Leeds vs Brentford

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.05
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-31-45

Home / 5 Sept 2026, 14:00

Brentford vs Sunderland

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.61
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
43-31-26

Away / 12 Sept 2026, 14:00

Bournemouth vs Brentford

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.94
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-30-49

Home / 18 Sept 2026, 19:00

Brentford vs Chelsea

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.70
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
47-30-23

Away / 10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Aston Villa vs Brentford

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.95
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-30-48

Home / 17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Brentford vs Liverpool

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.46
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
39-28-32

Away / 24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Hull City vs Brentford

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.58
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
43-29-28

Home / 31 Oct 2026, 15:00

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.56
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-29-28

Away / 7 Nov 2026, 15:00

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.04
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-32-44

Home / 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Brentford vs Everton

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.59
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-32-26

Away / 28 Nov 2026, 15:00

Manchester United vs Brentford

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.82
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
18-28-54

Home / 2 Dec 2026, 20:00

Brentford vs Arsenal

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.83
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
18-28-54

Home / 5 Dec 2026, 15:00

Brentford vs Manchester City

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.15
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
28-31-41

Away / 12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Fulham vs Brentford

Band 17-20Current #19Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.27
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
33-30-38

Home / 19 Dec 2026, 15:00

Brentford vs Newcastle United

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.55
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-28

Away / 26 Dec 2026, 15:00

Ipswich vs Brentford

Band 5-8Current #5Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.40
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
37-29-34

Away / 30 Dec 2026, 20:00

Coventry City vs Brentford

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.57
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-30-28

Home / 2 Jan 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Crystal Palace

Band 9-12Current #10Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.60
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
43-32-25

Away / 6 Jan 2027, 12:00

Arsenal vs Brentford

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.79
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
17-28-55

Home / 16 Jan 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.53
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
40-33-27

Away / 23 Jan 2027, 12:00

Everton vs Brentford

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.09
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-32-42

Home / 30 Jan 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Manchester United

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.43
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
38-30-32

Away / 6 Feb 2027, 12:00

Nottingham Forest vs Brentford

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.06
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-32-43

Away / 10 Feb 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Brentford

Band 9-12Current #10Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.29
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
33-30-37

Home / 20 Feb 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Coventry City

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.56
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-32-26

Away / 27 Feb 2027, 12:00

Newcastle United vs Brentford

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.04
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-32-44

Home / 3 Mar 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Ipswich

Band 5-8Current #5Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.60
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-33-25

Away / 13 Mar 2027, 12:00

Sunderland vs Brentford

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.13
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
27-31-42

Home / 20 Mar 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Bournemouth

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.52
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-29

Away / 10 Apr 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford

Band 9-12Current #12Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.99
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
23-30-47

Home / 17 Apr 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Leeds

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.53
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-29

Home / 24 Apr 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Fulham

Band 17-20Current #19Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.65
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
45-31-25

Away / 1 May 2027, 12:00

Manchester City vs Brentford

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.76
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
16-27-57

Home / 8 May 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Aston Villa

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.42
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
38-29-34

Away / 15 May 2027, 12:00

Liverpool vs Brentford

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.94
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
21-30-49

Home / 23 May 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Hull City

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.58
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-31-26

Away / 30 May 2027, 12:00

Chelsea vs Brentford

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.15
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
28-30-42

Analyst brief

Structured interpretation layer

deterministic / evidence-backed

Brentford are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.

Brentford are #11 now and project to finish #7.

This brief is generated only from current structured feeds and season-labelled historical snapshots already loaded in the app. It does not use open-web retrieval or unsupported claims.

Brentford are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.

6 absences; availability impact 47%; injuries 6, suspensions 0.

availability

Brentford's recent chance profile has dipped below their season baseline.

Recent xG diff -0.50 vs season xG diff +0.19.

performance

Brentford are currently projecting outside the top four.

Projected finish #7; title 4.2%, top four 19.1%, relegation 15.6%.

projection