Top finisher
Taiwo Awoniyi
0.36 finisher / 0.39 recent attack
Club hub
Resolving season-matched standings, fixtures, ratings and evidence.
Current state
#18
Team Snapshot
This season against last, table context, rating split, role leaders, the analyst brief and the Performance Index.
Model snapshot
Hybrid Elo Rating
1492
⚠ Divergence: 246 pts
Table context
#16 Aston Villa
GD -5
4
points
#17 Bournemouth
GD -2
3
points
#18 Coventry City
GD -9
3
points
#19 Fulham
GD -3
2
points
#20 Tottenham Hotspur
GD -6
2
points
Fan sentiment
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Role board
Selected role profile
MID / Connector / Finisher / Managed load
Recent output: 0 goals, 0 assists, 2.0 expected involvements, 4 recent starts, 4 straight starts.
Top finisher
Taiwo Awoniyi
0.36 finisher / 0.39 recent attack
Top creator
Victor Torp
0.26 creator / 0.34 recent creator
Top connector
Jack Rudoni
0.30 control / MID
Top protector
Carl Rushworth
0.58 defence / Protector-led
Best current form
Jack Rudoni
26 / 100 form / 0.34 recent attack
Highest load
Carl Rushworth
32% load / 17 form
Unavailable context
Analyst brief
Coventry City are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.
7 absences; availability impact 35%; injuries 6, suspensions 1.
Coventry City are #18 now and project to finish #18.
This brief is generated only from current structured feeds and season-labelled historical snapshots already loaded in the app. It does not use open-web retrieval or unsupported claims.
Coventry City are currently projecting outside the top four.
Projected finish #18; title 0.5%, top four 4.6%, relegation 35.3%.
Performance Index
Top-line read
Mixed signals
Coventry City's spell is slightly off their season level in one area without a consistent downturn across the others.
Sub-indices
+0.08 xG/90 against the season baseline.
-0.37 xGA/90 better than season norm.
+0.43 goals versus xG swing per match.
Waiting for dated territorial pass coverage to score control properly.
Opposition, rest, selection continuity, and current squad stress against the club's own season norm.
| Metric | Last 3 3 matches 100% xG coverage | 08-21 to 09-05 3 matches 100% xG coverage | Season 5 matches 100% xG coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Goal diff / game | -1.67 | -1.67 | -1.80 |
| xG for / game | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.00 |
| xGA / game | 2.09 | 1.50 | 1.72 |
| xG diff / game |
Consistency & variance
Swingy
PI-2 treats consistency as part results volatility and part process volatility. The xG and execution spreads show whether the recent run is simply noisier than the club’s usual season shape.
What changed?
Recent xG difference is -0.59 per match against the club's best 3-game spell.
Finishing swing is +0.05 goals per match against the season baseline.
The last 3 have come against average opponent rank 5.7, versus 5.4 across the season.
Lineup continuity is +0.12 against the season norm.
What might help
The defence is allowing too much before the finish even arrives
Recent xGA has risen +0.37 per match against season level.
What might help: Tighten rest defence and the first line of pressure instead of only reacting to the conceded-goals count.
Current squad stress is a real part of the picture
7 missing players and 35% availability impact are already weighing on the live team state.
What might help: Prioritise role-preserving replacements and rotation management before assuming tactical principles alone will solve the dip.
Best defensive spell
08-21 to 09-05
Coventry City has dated xG coverage for 3/3 matches in the current window and 5/5 across the season sample used here.
| -1.01 |
| -0.42 |
| -0.72 |
| Goals - xG / game | -0.74 | -1.08 | -0.79 |
| Defensive delta / game | +0.09 | -0.17 | -0.28 |
| Average opponent rank | 5.7 | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| Average rest days | 7.0 | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| Lineup continuity | 39% | 11% | 27% |
| Player load index | 82% | 35% | 61% |