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Club hub

Crystal Palace

Deep dive into the live model state for Crystal Palace: current standing, projected finish, next fixtures, recent xG momentum, and how ClubElo compares with the internal rating pass.

Current rank
10
Points
0
Goal diff
0
Projected finish
16

Current state

#10

Mid
Power score1520
ClubElo feedClubElo England ratings
xG feedUnderstat cached snapshot
Availability feedManual availability snapshot
Player load feedFPL player load snapshot
Current rank
#10
0 pts
Projected finish
#16
16.0% top 4 probability
Next fixture
Everton vs Crystal Palace
22 Aug 2026, 14:00
Next-fixture edge
25.7%
Crystal Palace win probability
Model readiness
Ready
77 XI / 78 load snapshots
Form consistency:Reliable

Team Snapshot

Team snapshot and key signals

Performance Index verdict, rating split, table context, role leaders, shot and pass maps, plus the structured analyst brief.

Shot Map

0 goals0 on target0 shots · 0.0 xG+0.0 vs xG
Loading shot data…
Goal On target Off target / blockedCircle size = xG value

Match Phase Breakdown

Loading phase data…

Passing Network

Loading network…

Goal timing

Goal distribution by 10-minute window

18 scored · 31 conceded · 38 matches

Peak scoring window

60-70' · 0.16/match

Peak conceding window

30-40' · 0.21/match

0-10'
0.03/match (1)0.03/match (1)
10-20'
0.00/match (0)0.00/match (0)
20-30'
0.03/match (1)0.00/match (0)
30-40'
0.08/match (3)0.21/match (8)
40-50'
0.03/match (1)0.18/match (7)
50-60'
0.05/match (2)0.08/match (3)
60-70'
0.16/match (6)0.08/match (3)
70-80'
0.05/match (2)0.08/match (3)
80-90+'
0.05/match (2)0.16/match (6)

Model snapshot

Current rating split

Internal Elo
1471
ClubElo
1804
Blended Elo
1544

Hybrid Elo Rating

1588

low confidence

⚠ Divergence: 333 pts

Internal 1471External 1804
65%35%
Attack50
Defence53
Recent form50
Availability63

Table context

Where the club sits now

#8 Leeds

GD +0

0

points

#9 Everton

GD +0

0

points

#10 Crystal Palace

GD +0

0

points

#11 Brentford

GD +0

0

points

#12 Tottenham Hotspur

GD +0

0

points

Fan sentiment

Loading…

Fear — Greed0 · 50 · 100

Role board

Squad role board

Selected role profile

Tyrick Mitchell

DEF / Protector-led / High load

Finisher
6 / 100
Creator
8 / 100
Connector
22 / 100
Protection
64 / 100
Form
0 / 100
Load
88 / 100
Goals
1
0.0 xG
Assists
1
0.0 xA
Starts
29
2578 mins

Recent output: 0 goals, 0 assists, 0.0 expected involvements, 5 recent starts, 29 straight starts.

Top finisher

Jørgen Strand Larsen

0.22 finisher / 0.13 recent attack

Top creator

Adam Wharton

0.15 creator / 0.08 recent creator

Top connector

Adam Wharton

0.28 control / MID

Top protector

Tyrick Mitchell

0.64 defence / Protector-led

Best current form

Dean Henderson

0 / 100 form / 0.13 recent attack

Highest load

Dean Henderson

88% load / 0 form

Unavailable context

Edward Nketiah / injuryDaniel Munoz / injuryMaxence Lacroix / injuryJean-Philippe Mateta / injuryC. Oumar Doucoure / injury

Run-in map

Remaining fixtures and likely haul

probability-led / band-adjusted context
Remaining fixtures
38
16 vs top eight
Expected haul
46.1 pts
1.21 PPG from here
Historical run-in fit
N/A
Historical bucket context still shallow
Run-in fit
Unknown
0 strongest-fit / 0 weakest-fit

Fit read

unknown

Crystal Palace's remaining mix is live, but the band-history sample is still thin.

Run-in split uses the live current table snapshot to classify each remaining opponent. Expected points come from match probabilities; historical split PPG is context from Crystal Palace's finished matches in the same band and venue split.

Pressure points

8 top-four and 16 top-eight tests remain.

Shape of the run-in

0 fixtures mirror their strongest band split; 0 hit their weakest split.

Fixture board

The model probability is the forward-looking call. Historical split PPG is a context layer from the club’s finished matches against the same opponent band and venue split.

Away / 22 Aug 2026, 14:00

Everton vs Crystal Palace

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.09
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-32-42

Home / 28 Aug 2026, 19:00

Crystal Palace vs Manchester City

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.81
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
18-26-55

Away / 5 Sept 2026, 14:00

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Band 17-20Current #19Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.03
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-31-45

Home / 12 Sept 2026, 14:00

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

Band 5-8Current #5Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.58
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-31-27

Away / 19 Sept 2026, 14:00

Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.96
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-31-48

Home / 10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.56
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-30-28

Away / 17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.02
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-30-46

Home / 24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.48
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
40-29-32

Away / 31 Oct 2026, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace

Band 9-12Current #12Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.95
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-30-49

Home / 7 Nov 2026, 15:00

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.36
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
35-29-35

Away / 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Coventry City vs Crystal Palace

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.39
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
37-29-35

Home / 28 Nov 2026, 15:00

Crystal Palace vs Hull City

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.55
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-33-27

Away / 2 Dec 2026, 20:00

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.15
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
28-31-41

Away / 5 Dec 2026, 15:00

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.89
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
20-30-50

Home / 12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.02
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-31-45

Away / 19 Dec 2026, 15:00

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.09
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-32-42

Home / 26 Dec 2026, 15:00

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.92
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
20-30-49

Home / 30 Dec 2026, 20:00

Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.42
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
37-30-33

Away / 2 Jan 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Crystal Palace

Band 9-12Current #11Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.08
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-32-43

Home / 6 Jan 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.59
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-31-26

Away / 16 Jan 2027, 12:00

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.00
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
23-32-45

Home / 23 Jan 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 9-12Current #12Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.28
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
33-30-37

Away / 30 Jan 2027, 12:00

Hull City vs Crystal Palace

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.38
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
36-29-35

Home / 6 Feb 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Coventry City

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.56
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-33-26

Home / 10 Feb 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Brentford

Band 9-12Current #11Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.41
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
37-30-33

Away / 20 Feb 2027, 12:00

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.90
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
20-31-49

Home / 27 Feb 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Sunderland

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.56
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-32-27

Away / 3 Mar 2027, 12:00

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.77
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
16-28-56

Home / 13 Mar 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Fulham

Band 17-20Current #19Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.61
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
43-31-25

Away / 20 Mar 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Crystal Palace

Band 5-8Current #5Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.30
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
34-27-39

Home / 10 Apr 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Everton

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.45
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
39-28-33

Away / 17 Apr 2027, 12:00

Manchester City vs Crystal Palace

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.76
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
16-27-57

Away / 24 Apr 2027, 12:00

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.75
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
16-26-57

Home / 1 May 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.33
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
35-29-37

Away / 8 May 2027, 12:00

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.98
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-31-47

Home / 15 May 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.57
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-30-28

Away / 23 May 2027, 12:00

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.96
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-30-48

Home / 30 May 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Leeds

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.57
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-31-27

Analyst brief

Structured interpretation layer

deterministic / evidence-backed

Crystal Palace are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.

Crystal Palace are #10 now and project to finish #16.

This brief is generated only from current structured feeds and season-labelled historical snapshots already loaded in the app. It does not use open-web retrieval or unsupported claims.

Crystal Palace are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.

5 absences; availability impact 37%; injuries 5, suspensions 0.

availability

Crystal Palace's recent chance profile has dipped below their season baseline.

Recent xG diff -0.64 vs season xG diff +0.06.

performance

Crystal Palace are currently projecting outside the top four.

Projected finish #16; title 3.5%, top four 16.0%, relegation 17.6%.

projection