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Club hub

Fulham

Deep dive into the live model state for Fulham: current standing, projected finish, next fixtures, recent xG momentum, and how ClubElo compares with the internal rating pass.

Current rank
19
Points
0
Goal diff
0
Projected finish
14

Current state

#19

Bottom 3
Power score1539
ClubElo feedClubElo England ratings
xG feedUnderstat cached snapshot
Availability feedManual availability snapshot
Player load feedFPL player load snapshot
Current rank
#19
0 pts
Projected finish
#14
18.4% top 4 probability
Next fixture
Fulham vs Chelsea
24 Aug 2026, 19:00
Next-fixture edge
42.7%
Fulham win probability
Model readiness
Ready
77 XI / 78 load snapshots
Form consistency:Reliable

Team Snapshot

Team snapshot and key signals

Performance Index verdict, rating split, table context, role leaders, shot and pass maps, plus the structured analyst brief.

Shot Map

0 goals0 on target0 shots · 0.0 xG+0.0 vs xG
Loading shot data…
Goal On target Off target / blockedCircle size = xG value

Match Phase Breakdown

Loading phase data…

Passing Network

Loading network…

Goal timing

Goal distribution by 10-minute window

27 scored · 35 conceded · 38 matches

Peak scoring window

80-90+' · 0.21/match

Peak conceding window

80-90+' · 0.18/match

0-10'
0.10/match (4)0.03/match (1)
10-20'
0.03/match (1)0.05/match (2)
20-30'
0.00/match (0)0.16/match (6)
30-40'
0.08/match (3)0.13/match (5)
40-50'
0.05/match (2)0.16/match (6)
50-60'
0.05/match (2)0.10/match (4)
60-70'
0.05/match (2)0.05/match (2)
70-80'
0.13/match (5)0.05/match (2)
80-90+'
0.21/match (8)0.18/match (7)

Model snapshot

Current rating split

Internal Elo
1500
ClubElo
1813
Blended Elo
1569

Hybrid Elo Rating

1610

low confidence

⚠ Divergence: 313 pts

Internal 1500External 1813
65%35%
Attack49
Defence53
Recent form50
Availability80

Table context

Where the club sits now

#17 Newcastle United

GD +0

0

points

#18 Liverpool

GD +0

0

points

#19 Fulham

GD +0

0

points

#20 Chelsea

GD +0

0

points

Fan sentiment

Loading…

Fear — Greed0 · 50 · 100

Role board

Squad role board

Selected role profile

Joachim Andersen

DEF / Protector-led / Elevated load

Finisher
6 / 100
Creator
8 / 100
Connector
21 / 100
Protection
59 / 100
Form
0 / 100
Load
67 / 100
Goals
0
0.0 xG
Assists
1
0.0 xA
Starts
26
2291 mins

Recent output: 0 goals, 0 assists, 0.0 expected involvements, 3 recent starts, 0 straight starts.

Top finisher

Raúl Jiménez Rodríguez

0.24 finisher / 0.13 recent attack

Top creator

Alex Iwobi

0.13 creator / 0.08 recent creator

Top connector

Sander Berge

0.28 control / MID

Top protector

Joachim Andersen

0.58 defence / Protector-led

Best current form

Bernd Leno

0 / 100 form / 0.13 recent attack

Highest load

Bernd Leno

88% load / 0 form

Unavailable context

Kevin / injuryHarry Wilson / injury

Run-in map

Remaining fixtures and likely haul

probability-led / band-adjusted context
Remaining fixtures
38
16 vs top eight
Expected haul
46.9 pts
1.23 PPG from here
Historical run-in fit
N/A
Historical bucket context still shallow
Run-in fit
Unknown
0 strongest-fit / 0 weakest-fit

Fit read

unknown

Fulham's remaining mix is live, but the band-history sample is still thin.

Run-in split uses the live current table snapshot to classify each remaining opponent. Expected points come from match probabilities; historical split PPG is context from Fulham's finished matches in the same band and venue split.

Pressure points

8 top-four and 16 top-eight tests remain.

Shape of the run-in

0 fixtures mirror their strongest band split; 0 hit their weakest split.

Fixture board

The model probability is the forward-looking call. Historical split PPG is a context layer from the club’s finished matches against the same opponent band and venue split.

Home / 24 Aug 2026, 19:00

Fulham vs Chelsea

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.59
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
43-31-27

Away / 30 Aug 2026, 13:00

Sunderland vs Fulham

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.11
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-32-41

Home / 5 Sept 2026, 14:00

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Band 9-12Current #10Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.66
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
45-31-24

Away / 12 Sept 2026, 14:00

Liverpool vs Fulham

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.99
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
23-31-46

Home / 20 Sept 2026, 15:30

Fulham vs Manchester United

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.00
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
23-30-46

Away / 10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Ipswich vs Fulham

Band 5-8Current #5Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.29
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
34-28-38

Home / 17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Fulham vs Hull City

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.56
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-32-27

Away / 24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Coventry City vs Fulham

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.48
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
40-27-32

Away / 31 Oct 2026, 15:00

Aston Villa vs Fulham

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.81
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
18-27-55

Home / 7 Nov 2026, 15:00

Fulham vs Newcastle United

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.54
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-28

Away / 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Manchester City vs Fulham

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.81
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
18-28-54

Home / 28 Nov 2026, 15:00

Fulham vs Bournemouth

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.53
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-29

Away / 2 Dec 2026, 20:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham

Band 9-12Current #12Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.96
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-31-47

Away / 5 Dec 2026, 15:00

Everton vs Fulham

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.11
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-33-41

Home / 12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Fulham vs Brentford

Band 9-12Current #11Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.43
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
38-30-33

Away / 19 Dec 2026, 15:00

Leeds vs Fulham

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.05
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-32-44

Home / 26 Dec 2026, 15:00

Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.52
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
40-31-28

Home / 30 Dec 2026, 20:00

Fulham vs Arsenal

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.91
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
20-31-49

Away / 2 Jan 2027, 12:00

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.05
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-32-44

Home / 6 Jan 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 9-12Current #12Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.59
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-32-26

Away / 16 Jan 2027, 12:00

Newcastle United vs Fulham

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.99
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-32-46

Home / 23 Jan 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Aston Villa

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.37
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
36-30-34

Away / 30 Jan 2027, 12:00

Bournemouth vs Fulham

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.90
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
19-32-49

Home / 6 Feb 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Manchester City

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.81
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
17-28-54

Home / 10 Feb 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Nottingham Forest

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.54
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-28

Away / 20 Feb 2027, 12:00

Arsenal vs Fulham

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.74
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
15-28-56

Home / 27 Feb 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Leeds

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.55
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-27

Away / 3 Mar 2027, 12:00

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.01
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
23-32-45

Away / 13 Mar 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Fulham

Band 9-12Current #10Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.08
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-31-43

Home / 20 Mar 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Liverpool

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.36
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
36-28-36

Away / 10 Apr 2027, 12:00

Chelsea vs Fulham

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.15
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
28-30-42

Home / 17 Apr 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Sunderland

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.53
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-28

Away / 24 Apr 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Fulham

Band 9-12Current #11Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.04
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-31-45

Home / 1 May 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Everton

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.48
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
40-28-32

Home / 8 May 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Ipswich

Band 5-8Current #5Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.58
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-31-26

Away / 15 May 2027, 12:00

Hull City vs Fulham

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.43
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
38-28-33

Home / 23 May 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Coventry City

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.58
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-31-26

Away / 30 May 2027, 12:00

Manchester United vs Fulham

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.75
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
16-27-57

Analyst brief

Structured interpretation layer

deterministic / evidence-backed

Fulham are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.

Fulham are #19 now and project to finish #14.

This brief is generated only from current structured feeds and season-labelled historical snapshots already loaded in the app. It does not use open-web retrieval or unsupported claims.

Fulham are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.

2 absences; availability impact 20%; injuries 2, suspensions 0.

availability

Fulham are currently projecting outside the top four.

Projected finish #14; title 4.5%, top four 18.4%, relegation 15.9%.

projection