Top finisher
Gonzalo García
0.41 finisher / 0.55 recent attack
Club hub
Resolving season-matched standings, fixtures, ratings and evidence.
Current state
#19
Team Snapshot
This season against last, table context, rating split, role leaders, the analyst brief and the Performance Index.
Season on season
Fulham are 6 points behind last season after 5 matches: 2 points against 8 in 2025/26, a season they finished #11 on 52 points.
Cumulative points curve & finish-line pace
Model snapshot
Hybrid Elo Rating
1584
⚠ Divergence: 343 pts
Table context
#17 Bournemouth
GD -2
3
points
#18 Coventry City
GD -9
3
points
#19 Fulham
GD -3
2
points
#20 Tottenham Hotspur
GD -6
2
points
Fan sentiment
Loading…
Role board
Selected role profile
MID / Connector / Protector / Managed load
Recent output: 0 goals, 0 assists, 1.6 expected involvements, 5 recent starts, 5 straight starts.
Top finisher
Gonzalo García
0.41 finisher / 0.55 recent attack
Top creator
Alex Iwobi
0.27 creator / 0.47 recent creator
Top connector
Alex Iwobi
0.35 control / MID
Top protector
Bernd Leno
0.58 defence / Protector-led
Best current form
Gonzalo García
37 / 100 form / 0.55 recent attack
Highest load
Calvin Bassey
32% load / 17 form
Unavailable context
Analyst brief
Fulham are tracking as their weakest same-stage Premier League return across the last 4 seasons.
Same-stage rank 4/4; worst benchmark 2026/27.
Fulham are #19 now and project to finish #17, with 2 points from 5 matches in 2026/27.
This brief is generated only from current structured feeds and season-labelled historical snapshots already loaded in the app. It does not use open-web retrieval or unsupported claims.
Fulham are materially behind last season's pace at the same stage.
2026/27: 2 pts vs 2025/26: 8 pts after 5 matches.
Fulham are carrying a weaker full-season points pace than last year.
Projected pace +15.2 vs last season stage pace +60.8 (-45.6).
Fulham are underperforming their own recent three-season pace baseline.
Current pace delta vs recent average: -43.1 points.
Performance Index
Top-line read
Mixed signals
Fulham's spell is slightly off their season level in one area without a consistent downturn across the others.
Sub-indices
+0.25 xG/90 against the season baseline.
+0.00 xGA/90 better than season norm.
+0.03 goals versus xG swing per match.
Waiting for dated territorial pass coverage to score control properly.
Opposition, rest, selection continuity, and current squad stress against the club's own season norm.
| Metric | Last 3 3 matches 100% xG coverage | Season 5 matches 100% xG coverage |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 0.40 |
| Goal diff / game | -0.33 | -0.60 |
| xG for / game | 1.84 | 1.59 |
| xGA / game | 2.09 | 2.09 |
| xG diff / game | -0.25 | -0.49 |
| Goals - xG / game | -0.84 | -0.59 |
| Defensive delta / game |
Consistency & variance
Swingy
PI-2 treats consistency as part results volatility and part process volatility. The xG and execution spreads show whether the recent run is simply noisier than the club’s usual season shape.
What changed?
Recent xG difference is +0.00 per match against the club's best 3-game spell.
Finishing swing is -0.25 goals per match against the season baseline.
The last 3 have come against average opponent rank 11.0, versus 11.4 across the season.
Lineup continuity is +0.07 against the season norm.
What might help
The base process is still closer to good than the scorelines suggest
Recent xG difference is +0.24 against the season baseline, but finishing has swung -0.25 goals per match.
What might help: Keep the attacking structure stable and focus on restoring final-action quality rather than assuming the whole model of play is broken.
Best defensive spell
08-30 to 09-12
Fulham has dated xG coverage for 3/3 matches in the current window and 5/5 across the season sample used here.
| +0.76 |
| +0.49 |
| Average opponent rank | 11.0 | 11.4 |
| Average rest days | 7.0 | 6.7 |
| Lineup continuity | 42% | 35% |
| Player load index | 82% | 73% |