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Tottenham Hotspur

Deep dive into the live model state for Tottenham Hotspur: current standing, projected finish, next fixtures, recent xG momentum, and how ClubElo compares with the internal rating pass.

Current rank
12
Points
0
Goal diff
0
Projected finish
8

Current state

#12

Mid
Power score1498
ClubElo feedClubElo England ratings
xG feedUnderstat cached snapshot
Availability feedManual availability snapshot
Player load feedFPL player load snapshot
Current rank
#12
0 pts
Projected finish
#8
18.4% top 4 probability
Next fixture
Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur
22 Aug 2026, 16:30
Next-fixture edge
26.6%
Tottenham Hotspur win probability
Model readiness
Ready
77 XI / 78 load snapshots
Form consistency:Reliable

Team Snapshot

Team snapshot and key signals

Performance Index verdict, rating split, table context, role leaders, shot and pass maps, plus the structured analyst brief.

Shot Map

0 goals0 on target0 shots · 0.0 xG+0.0 vs xG
Loading shot data…
Goal On target Off target / blockedCircle size = xG value

Match Phase Breakdown

Loading phase data…

Passing Network

Loading network…

Goal timing

Goal distribution by 10-minute window

31 scored · 42 conceded · 38 matches

Peak scoring window

80-90+' · 0.16/match

Peak conceding window

30-40' · 0.21/match

0-10'
0.05/match (2)0.10/match (4)
10-20'
0.05/match (2)0.08/match (3)
20-30'
0.05/match (2)0.03/match (1)
30-40'
0.13/match (5)0.21/match (8)
40-50'
0.10/match (4)0.13/match (5)
50-60'
0.10/match (4)0.13/match (5)
60-70'
0.10/match (4)0.13/match (5)
70-80'
0.05/match (2)0.13/match (5)
80-90+'
0.16/match (6)0.16/match (6)

Model snapshot

Current rating split

Internal Elo
1456
ClubElo
1777
Blended Elo
1527

Hybrid Elo Rating

1568

low confidence

⚠ Divergence: 321 pts

Internal 1456External 1777
65%35%
Attack49
Defence51
Recent form50
Availability16

Table context

Where the club sits now

#10 Crystal Palace

GD +0

0

points

#11 Brentford

GD +0

0

points

#12 Tottenham Hotspur

GD +0

0

points

#13 Manchester City

GD +0

0

points

#14 Bournemouth

GD +0

0

points

Fan sentiment

Loading…

Fear — Greed0 · 50 · 100

Role board

Squad role board

Selected role profile

Pedro Porro Sauceda

DEF / Protector-led / Elevated load

Finisher
6 / 100
Creator
10 / 100
Connector
21 / 100
Protection
54 / 100
Form
0 / 100
Load
60 / 100
Goals
0
0.0 xG
Assists
3
0.0 xA
Starts
23
1983 mins

Recent output: 0 goals, 0 assists, 0.0 expected involvements, 2 recent starts, 2 straight starts.

Top finisher

Richarlison de Andrade

0.24 finisher / 0.13 recent attack

Top creator

Xavi Simons

0.13 creator / 0.08 recent creator

Top connector

João Maria Lobo Alves Palhares Costa Palhinha Gonçalves

0.25 control / MID

Top protector

Pedro Porro Sauceda

0.54 defence / Protector-led

Best current form

Guglielmo Vicario

0 / 100 form / 0.13 recent attack

Highest load

Guglielmo Vicario

88% load / 0 form

Unavailable context

Wilson Odobert / injuryMohammed Kudus / injuryRodrigo Bentancur / injuryLucas Bergvall / injuryMicky van de Ven / injuryCristian Romero / injuryBen Davies / injuryDestiny Udogie / injury

Run-in map

Remaining fixtures and likely haul

probability-led / band-adjusted context
Remaining fixtures
38
16 vs top eight
Expected haul
51.1 pts
1.34 PPG from here
Historical run-in fit
N/A
Historical bucket context still shallow
Run-in fit
Unknown
0 strongest-fit / 0 weakest-fit

Fit read

unknown

Tottenham Hotspur's remaining mix is live, but the band-history sample is still thin.

Run-in split uses the live current table snapshot to classify each remaining opponent. Expected points come from match probabilities; historical split PPG is context from Tottenham Hotspur's finished matches in the same band and venue split.

Pressure points

8 top-four and 16 top-eight tests remain.

Shape of the run-in

0 fixtures mirror their strongest band split; 0 hit their weakest split.

Fixture board

The model probability is the forward-looking call. Historical split PPG is a context layer from the club’s finished matches against the same opponent band and venue split.

Away / 22 Aug 2026, 16:30

Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 9-12Current #11Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.11
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
27-31-42

Home / 29 Aug 2026, 16:30

Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.64
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
45-31-25

Away / 5 Sept 2026, 14:00

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.12
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
27-30-42

Home / 12 Sept 2026, 16:30

Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.76
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
49-30-21

Home / 19 Sept 2026, 11:30

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.37
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
36-29-35

Away / 10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.93
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
21-30-49

Home / 17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.71
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
47-31-22

Away / 24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.37
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
36-28-36

Home / 31 Oct 2026, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace

Band 9-12Current #10Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.75
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
49-30-22

Away / 7 Nov 2026, 15:00

Leeds vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.13
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
27-32-41

Home / 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich

Band 5-8Current #5Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.70
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
46-32-22

Away / 28 Nov 2026, 15:00

Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.12
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
27-32-41

Home / 2 Dec 2026, 20:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham

Band 17-20Current #19Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.72
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
47-31-22

Home / 5 Dec 2026, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.03
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-32-44

Away / 12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.44
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
38-29-32

Away / 19 Dec 2026, 15:00

Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.08
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-32-42

Home / 26 Dec 2026, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.43
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
38-30-32

Home / 30 Dec 2026, 20:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.43
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
38-30-32

Away / 2 Jan 2027, 12:00

Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.94
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
21-31-48

Away / 6 Jan 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 17-20Current #19Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.09
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-32-42

Home / 16 Jan 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.59
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-31-26

Away / 23 Jan 2027, 12:00

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 9-12Current #10Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.42
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
37-30-33

Home / 30 Jan 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.74
1-0
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
47-32-21

Away / 6 Feb 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 5-8Current #5Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.34
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
35-30-35

Home / 10 Feb 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.99
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-32-46

Away / 20 Feb 2027, 12:00

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.13
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
27-32-41

Home / 27 Feb 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.54
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
41-31-28

Away / 3 Mar 2027, 12:00

Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.04
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-33-43

Home / 13 Mar 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.66
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
45-31-24

Away / 20 Mar 2027, 12:00

Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.08
1-0
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-32-43

Home / 10 Apr 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford

Band 9-12Current #11Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.71
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
47-30-23

Away / 17 Apr 2027, 12:00

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.15
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
28-31-41

Home / 24 Apr 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.74
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
48-31-21

Away / 1 May 2027, 12:00

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.80
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
18-28-55

Home / 8 May 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.76
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
49-30-21

Away / 15 May 2027, 12:00

Coventry City vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.48
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
40-28-32

Home / 23 May 2027, 12:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.11
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-32-42

Away / 30 May 2027, 12:00

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.96
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-30-48

Analyst brief

Structured interpretation layer

deterministic / evidence-backed

Tottenham Hotspur are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.

Tottenham Hotspur are #12 now and project to finish #8.

This brief is generated only from current structured feeds and season-labelled historical snapshots already loaded in the app. It does not use open-web retrieval or unsupported claims.

Tottenham Hotspur are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.

11 absences; availability impact 84%; injuries 11, suspensions 0.

availability

Tottenham Hotspur's recent chance creation profile is running ahead of their season baseline.

Recent xG diff +0.51 vs season xG diff -0.23.

performance

Tottenham Hotspur are currently projecting outside the top four.

Projected finish #8; title 4.4%, top four 18.4%, relegation 15.2%.

projection