CAFFIFA Rank: #14

Senegal

Analyzing current parameters: Power Rating of 0.95. Qualifying campaign results: Won 7, Drawn 2, Lost 1 games.

Avg Group Points

3.0

Qualify Chance

100%

Qualification Briefing

qualified

"Safe! Through to the knockout stages."

Best-Case ScenarioRound of 32 seed

Worst-Case ScenarioRunner-up slot

Anxiety Index Meter

100DREAD

Classification:Hiding Behind the Sofa

This index gauges real-time psychological pressure, assessing remaining difficulty, current position, recent form, and mathematical simulation vulnerability.

Active Dread Drivers:

Knocked out — the tournament run is over.

Chance Creation Profile

1 match tracked

xG Created / Match3.58

xG Conceded / Match1.74

Scoring 2.00 goals per match against 3.58 xG created — converting roughly in line with chance quality.

By Opponent Strength

Elite oppositionNo matches yet

Mid-tier opposition3.58 xG for · 1.74 xG against (1 match)

Lower-rated oppositionNo matches yet

Group Stage Fixtures & H2H Logs

Jun 16, 07:00 PMMetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, New Jersey)

France

3 - 1

Senegal

Opponent Rating: 1.32

No previous World Cup head-to-head records.

Jun 23, 12:00 AMMetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, New Jersey)

Norway

3 - 2

Senegal

Opponent Rating: 1.06

No previous World Cup head-to-head records.

Jun 26, 07:00 PMBMO Field (Toronto)

Senegal

5 - 0

Iraq

Opponent Rating: 0.60

No previous World Cup head-to-head records.

Jul 1, 08:00 PMLumen Field (Seattle, Washington)

Belgium

3 - 2

Senegal

Opponent Rating: 1.17

No previous World Cup head-to-head records.

Path to Glory — Monte Carlo Simulation

Standing Override Scenario ("What If")

Round of 32vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador (59% win chance)

100%

Round of 16vs 🇧🇷 Brazil (37% win chance)

Quarter-Finalsvs 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England (23% win chance)

Semi-Finalsvs 🇦🇷 Argentina (24% win chance)

Finalsvs 🇪🇸 Spain (17% win chance)

Champion

Percentages represent the likelihood of reaching each round based on 10,000 Monte Carlo tournament iterations incorporating FIFA ratings, current ELO, qualifying performance, and co-host home-field advantage metrics.

Explore the Tournament Projections

Compare other national squads, check out group standings cards, and analyze which matches sit highest on the "Group of Death" difficulty indices.

Return to World Cup 2026 Hub