Top finisher
Mohamed-Ali Cho
0.36 finisher / 0.39 recent attack
Club hub
Resolving season-matched standings, fixtures, ratings and evidence.
Current state
#8
Team Snapshot
This season against last, table context, rating split, role leaders, the analyst brief and the Performance Index.
Model snapshot
Hybrid Elo Rating
1463
Table context
#6 Liverpool
GD +3
9
points
#7 Everton
GD +3
9
points
#8 Hull City
GD +2
8
points
#9 Newcastle United
GD +0
8
points
#10 Chelsea
GD -2
7
points
Fan sentiment
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Role board
Selected role profile
MID / Protector / Connector / Managed load
Recent output: 2 goals, 2 assists, 1.2 expected involvements, 5 recent starts, 5 straight starts.
Top finisher
Mohamed-Ali Cho
0.36 finisher / 0.39 recent attack
Top creator
Regan Slater
0.20 creator / 0.34 recent creator
Top connector
Mohamed Belloumi
0.30 control / MID
Top protector
Konstantinos Tzolakis
0.58 defence / Protector-led
Best current form
Mohamed Belloumi
35 / 100 form / 0.30 recent attack
Highest load
Oli McBurnie
32% load / 25 form
Unavailable context
Analyst brief
Hull City are carrying a meaningful squad-availability drag.
9 absences; availability impact 43%; injuries 9, suspensions 0.
Hull City are #8 now and project to finish #20.
This brief is generated only from current structured feeds and season-labelled historical snapshots already loaded in the app. It does not use open-web retrieval or unsupported claims.
Hull City are currently projecting outside the top four.
Projected finish #20; title 0.1%, top four 1.4%, relegation 42.2%.
Performance Index
Top-line read
Mixed deterioration
Hull City are below their season level on more than one front at once: chance differential, finishing or goals conceded against xG. It reads as a mixed downturn rather than one clean single-cause slump.
Sub-indices
+0.11 xG/90 against the season baseline.
+0.03 xGA/90 better than season norm.
-0.87 goals versus xG swing per match.
Waiting for dated territorial pass coverage to score control properly.
Opposition, rest, selection continuity, and current squad stress against the club's own season norm.
| Metric | Last 3 3 matches 100% xG coverage | Season 5 matches 100% xG coverage |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 1.60 |
| Goal diff / game | -0.33 | +0.40 |
| xG for / game | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| xGA / game | 1.41 | 1.44 |
| xG diff / game | -0.15 | -0.29 |
| Goals - xG / game | -0.26 | +0.05 |
| Defensive delta / game |
Consistency & variance
Variable
PI-2 treats consistency as part results volatility and part process volatility. The xG and execution spreads show whether the recent run is simply noisier than the club’s usual season shape.
What changed?
Recent xG difference is +0.00 per match against the club's best 3-game spell.
Finishing swing is -0.31 goals per match against the season baseline.
The last 3 have come against average opponent rank 11.7, versus 13.0 across the season.
Lineup continuity is +0.07 against the season norm.
What might help
The base process is still closer to good than the scorelines suggest
Recent xG difference is +0.14 against the season baseline, but finishing has swung -0.31 goals per match.
What might help: Keep the attacking structure stable and focus on restoring final-action quality rather than assuming the whole model of play is broken.
Current squad stress is a real part of the picture
9 missing players and 43% availability impact are already weighing on the live team state.
What might help: Prioritise role-preserving replacements and rotation management before assuming tactical principles alone will solve the dip.
Best defensive spell
08-29 to 09-12
Unbeaten spell
4-match unbeaten run
Hull City has dated xG coverage for 3/3 matches in the current window and 5/5 across the season sample used here.
| +0.07 |
| +0.64 |
| Average opponent rank | 11.7 | 13.0 |
| Average rest days | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| Lineup continuity | 42% | 35% |
| Player load index | 82% | 72% |