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Club hub

Ipswich

Deep dive into the live model state for Ipswich: current standing, projected finish, next fixtures, recent xG momentum, and how ClubElo compares with the internal rating pass.

Current rank
5
Points
0
Goal diff
0
Projected finish
18

Current state

#5

Mid
Power score1422
ClubElo feedClubElo England ratings
xG feedUnderstat cached snapshot
Availability feedManual availability snapshot
Player load feedFPL player load snapshot
Current rank
#5
0 pts
Projected finish
#18
17.2% top 4 probability
Next fixture
Ipswich vs Sunderland
22 Aug 2026, 14:00
Next-fixture edge
38.6%
Ipswich win probability
Model readiness
Ready
77 XI / 78 load snapshots
Form consistency:Reliable

Team Snapshot

Team snapshot and key signals

Performance Index verdict, rating split, table context, role leaders, shot and pass maps, plus the structured analyst brief.

Shot Map

0 goals0 on target0 shots · 0.0 xG+0.0 vs xG
Loading shot data…
Goal On target Off target / blockedCircle size = xG value

Match Phase Breakdown

Loading phase data…

Passing Network

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Model snapshot

Current rating split

Internal Elo
1426
ClubElo
1565
Blended Elo
1457

Hybrid Elo Rating

1475

low confidence

⚠ Divergence: 139 pts

Internal 1426External 1565
65%35%
Attack49
Defence56
Recent form50
Availability100

Table context

Where the club sits now

#3 Hull City

GD +0

0

points

#4 Manchester United

GD +0

0

points

#5 Ipswich

GD +0

0

points

#6 Sunderland

GD +0

0

points

#7 Nottingham Forest

GD +0

0

points

Fan sentiment

Loading…

Fear — Greed0 · 50 · 100

Role board

Squad role board

The player-profile layer is not deep enough yet to expose a reliable role board for Ipswich.

Run-in map

Remaining fixtures and likely haul

probability-led / band-adjusted context
Remaining fixtures
38
14 vs top eight
Expected haul
42.9 pts
1.13 PPG from here
Historical run-in fit
N/A
Historical bucket context still shallow
Run-in fit
Unknown
0 strongest-fit / 0 weakest-fit

Fit read

unknown

Ipswich's remaining mix is live, but the band-history sample is still thin.

Run-in split uses the live current table snapshot to classify each remaining opponent. Expected points come from match probabilities; historical split PPG is context from Ipswich's finished matches in the same band and venue split.

Pressure points

8 top-four and 14 top-eight tests remain.

Shape of the run-in

0 fixtures mirror their strongest band split; 0 hit their weakest split.

Fixture board

The model probability is the forward-looking call. Historical split PPG is a context layer from the club’s finished matches against the same opponent band and venue split.

Home / 22 Aug 2026, 14:00

Ipswich vs Sunderland

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.43
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
39-28-34

Away / 30 Aug 2026, 15:30

Manchester United vs Ipswich

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.79
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
17-27-56

Home / 4 Sept 2026, 19:00

Ipswich vs Liverpool

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.18
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
29-30-41

Away / 12 Sept 2026, 14:00

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

Band 9-12Current #10Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.11
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
27-31-42

Away / 19 Sept 2026, 14:00

Everton vs Ipswich

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.07
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-31-44

Home / 10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Ipswich vs Fulham

Band 17-20Current #19Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.42
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
38-28-34

Away / 17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Manchester City vs Ipswich

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.79
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
17-27-56

Home / 24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.24
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
32-28-40

Away / 31 Oct 2026, 15:00

Hull City vs Ipswich

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.26
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
33-28-40

Home / 7 Nov 2026, 15:00

Ipswich vs Bournemouth

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.04
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-31-45

Away / 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich

Band 9-12Current #12Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.98
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
22-32-46

Home / 28 Nov 2026, 15:00

Ipswich vs Aston Villa

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.04
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-31-45

Away / 2 Dec 2026, 20:00

Coventry City vs Ipswich

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.26
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
32-29-39

Away / 5 Dec 2026, 15:00

Leeds vs Ipswich

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.04
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-33-44

Home / 12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Ipswich vs Newcastle United

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.26
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
32-29-38

Away / 19 Dec 2026, 15:00

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Ipswich

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.05
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-33-43

Home / 26 Dec 2026, 15:00

Ipswich vs Brentford

Band 9-12Current #11Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.31
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
34-29-37

Home / 30 Dec 2026, 20:00

Ipswich vs Chelsea

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.40
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
37-29-34

Away / 2 Jan 2027, 12:00

Arsenal vs Ipswich

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.74
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
15-28-57

Home / 6 Jan 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Coventry City

Band 1-4Current #2Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.59
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-32-26

Away / 16 Jan 2027, 12:00

Bournemouth vs Ipswich

Band 13-16Current #14Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.93
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
20-32-47

Home / 23 Jan 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Hull City

Band 1-4Current #3Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.58
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
42-32-26

Away / 30 Jan 2027, 12:00

Aston Villa vs Ipswich

Band 13-16Current #16Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.88
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
19-31-50

Home / 6 Feb 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Tottenham Hotspur

Band 9-12Current #12Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.36
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
35-30-35

Home / 10 Feb 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Arsenal

Band 1-4Current #1Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.89
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
19-31-50

Away / 20 Feb 2027, 12:00

Chelsea vs Ipswich

Band 17-20Current #20Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.11
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-33-41

Home / 27 Feb 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Band 13-16Current #15Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.02
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
24-31-45

Away / 3 Mar 2027, 12:00

Brentford vs Ipswich

Band 9-12Current #11Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.07
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
25-33-42

Away / 13 Mar 2027, 12:00

Liverpool vs Ipswich

Band 17-20Current #18Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.93
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
21-30-49

Home / 20 Mar 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Crystal Palace

Band 9-12Current #10Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.43
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
39-27-34

Away / 10 Apr 2027, 12:00

Sunderland vs Ipswich

Band 5-8Current #6Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.10
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-31-42

Home / 17 Apr 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Manchester United

Band 1-4Current #4Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.99
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
23-30-47

Away / 24 Apr 2027, 12:00

Newcastle United vs Ipswich

Band 17-20Current #17Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.02
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
23-32-45

Home / 1 May 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Leeds

Band 5-8Current #8Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.19
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
29-30-40

Away / 8 May 2027, 12:00

Fulham vs Ipswich

Band 17-20Current #19Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.11
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
26-31-42

Home / 15 May 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Manchester City

Band 13-16Current #13Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
0.81
1-2
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
18-27-55

Away / 23 May 2027, 12:00

Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich

Band 5-8Current #7Neutral fit
Loss risk
Model expected points
1.01
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Loss risk
23-32-45

Home / 30 May 2027, 12:00

Ipswich vs Everton

Band 9-12Current #9Neutral fit
Win lean
Model expected points
1.43
2-1
Historical split PPG
N/A
No finished split sample
Likely result
Win lean
39-27-34

Analyst brief

Structured interpretation layer

deterministic / evidence-backed

Ipswich are currently projecting outside the top four.

Ipswich are #5 now and project to finish #18.

This brief is generated only from current structured feeds and season-labelled historical snapshots already loaded in the app. It does not use open-web retrieval or unsupported claims.

Ipswich are currently projecting outside the top four.

Projected finish #18; title 3.9%, top four 17.2%, relegation 16.1%.

projection