Sensible Stats
Football Forecasting Engine
The sharp, live read on the Premier League.
Forecasting the table, not shouting about it.
55.1%outcome accuracy across 1,140 replayed fixturesModel controls
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About this tab
Fans Voice and Fear & Greed Index
A club-by-club mood board for what fans, transfer markets, and the press are saying right now. Scores run from 0 (fear / crisis) to 100 (greed / euphoria), and each club carries live talking-point themes so podcasters can see what is actually driving the mood.
Club context + FPL
Verified club events anchor the read; player ownership swings add early fan-market movement.
YouTube — 15%
Video narratives from official, fan, and pundit channels via public RSS feeds. Good for richer thematic talking points.
Fan + press mood — 45%
Reddit, GDELT, and news headlines when available. Strongest for immediate fan reaction and broader press framing.
Scored using VADER with a football-specific lexicon, then grouped into deterministic themes such as manager pressure, injuries, transfers, form, and defensive issues. Each club row now calls out whether the read is strong, thin, or split between sources.
No sentiment data yet
Sentiment data is refreshed automatically every early morning by a GitHub Actions workflow. Configure SENTIMENT_PROVIDER=url and OPTIONAL_SENTIMENT_FEED_URL to enable the live feed.