Sensible Stats

Football Forecasting Engine

Season:

Champions League WC 2026

The sharp, live read on the Premier League.

Forecasting the table, not shouting about it.

55.1%outcome accuracy across 1,140 replayed fixtures

Teams

Fixtures left

380

Data

football-data.org

Matchday

MW 1

Status

Live

Model controls

Filter the board without flattening it.

ClubFixture search

Current filter

Club: All teamsSearch: NonePredictions: 380

LiveStandings & fixtures Rumour MillTransfer gossip SeasonProjections & race TrendsForm & momentum Fans VoiceFear & Greed Index SquadStrength & fitness ModelCalibration & logs

How accurate is the model?

Prediction scorecard

Backtest data loading… If this persists, the internal backtest route may have timed out. Reload the page to retry.

Technical — model internals

Calibration metrics

Calibration summary unavailable until the internal backtest route responds.

Technical — developer diagnostics

Feed & data health

2 warnings across 10 feed and model checks.

Pre-season bootstrap mode

System in unplayed bootstrap stage

Ready for the mid-June schedule drop. Trigger the round-robin schedule drop ingestor below to dynamically generate a valid 380-match unplayed calendar.

Standings feed live

football-data.org. 20 clubs loaded at matchday 1.

Fixtures feed live

football-data.org. 380 unresolved and 0 finished fixtures are attached.

xG feed not attached

The prediction engine is currently running without xG enrichment.

Availability feed not attached

Injury, suspension, and absence detail is currently disabled.

Elo feed not attached

External Elo blending is currently disabled.

Player-load feed not attached

League-wide player workload tracking is currently disabled.

Calibration feed unavailable

The internal replay/backtest route did not return a live calibration report.

Player-load history building

78 dated player-load snapshots are available for replay studies.

Expected XI history building

77 dated expected-XI snapshots are available for lineup-history studies.

Missing form history

20 team rows have no recent form sequence attached.

Technical — developer diagnostics

Model optimizer & data status

Optimizer status unavailable.