Sensible Stats
Football Forecasting Engine
The sharp, live read on the Premier League.
Forecasting the table, not shouting about it.
55.1%outcome accuracy across 1,140 replayed fixturesModel controls
Filter the board without flattening it.
Current filter
xG momentum
Recent chance-quality trends
No xG history
Recent xG trends need an xG feed that carries rolling history, not only season averages.
Opponent buckets
Performance by opposition band
Select a club
This view is only meaningful for a single team. Pick a club from the filter above to inspect home, away, and overall returns by opponent bucket, with current-season xG process where available.
Forecast pulse
What the remaining board looks like
Trend desk
Recent team momentum
No trends
Recent trend data is not available for the current filter.
Watchlist
Fixtures worth opening first
High draw risk
Arsenal vs Newcastle United
32.2%1-0 / confidence 44%
Arsenal vs Fulham
32.2%1-0 / confidence 44%
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
32.2%1-0 / confidence 44%
Arsenal vs Brentford
31.8%1-0 / confidence 47%
High goal environments
Arsenal vs Coventry City
2.701-0 / 1.46-1.24
Hull City vs Manchester United
2.701-0 / 1.46-1.24
Ipswich vs Sunderland
2.701-0 / 1.46-1.24
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds
2.701-0 / 1.46-1.24