Sensible Stats
Football Forecasting Engine
The sharp, live read on the Premier League.
Forecasting the table, not shouting about it.
55.1%outcome accuracy across 1,140 replayed fixturesModel controls
Filter the board without flattening it.
Current filter
Verified Gossip and Transfer Validity Scores
We weigh summer transfer rumours with source tiers, claim stage, corroboration, freshness checks, and rejection ledgers. Weak or degraded coverage stays visible instead of being padded with filler.
Tier 1: Elite (85+)
Direct confirmation from primary sources like David Ornstein or Fabrizio Romano.
Tier 2-3: Reliable (40-84)
Reputable broadsheet reporting with verified multiple-source cross-reference.
Tier 4: Speculative (<40)
Tabloid gossip or single-source agent leaks with high clickbait likelihood.
Active Gossip Feed
Chronological stream of active Premier League summer rumours.
Projected Squad Power Shift
Indicative model movement from published player rumours above 50 validity with parseable fees. Thin or unpriced claims are excluded.
Transfer Feed Diagnostics
Twice-daily source checks report landed, degraded, quiet, and unconfigured feeds without exposing provider secrets.
Source Calibration Tiers
Historical reliability weight assigned to major reporting outlets inside the gossip analysis engine.